Real estate market recap, July 3-7, 2017

    The big news in real estate markets, recapped for your convenience

    30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Climb to Two-Month High; Current Rate is 3.83 Percent, According to Zillow Mortgage Rate Ticker

    Current rates for 30-year fixed mortgages by state

    • The 30-year fixed mortgage rate on Zillow Mortgages is currently 3.83 percent, up 16 basis points from this time last week. The 30-year fixed mortgage rate rose throughout the week, reaching 3.87 percent on Tuesday before falling to the current rate on Wednesday.
    • The rate for a 15-year fixed home loan is currently 3.07 percent, while the rate for a 5-1 adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) is 3.09 percent.

    “Mortgage rates moved decisively higher last week, reaching their highest levels in two months, on speculation that the European Central Bank is looking to end its bond-buying program which has helped hold down long-term interest rates around the world,” said Erin Lantz, vice president of mortgages at Zillow. “Despite a holiday-shortened week, important economic news later in the week – notably today’s publication of the minutes from the Federal Reserve’s June meeting and Friday’s monthly jobs report – could move rates.”

    Wednesday, July 5

    CoreLogic U.S. Home Price Insights, Through May 2017 with Forecasts from June 2017

    • Home prices nationwide, including distressed sales, increased year-over-year by 6.6 percent in May 2017 compared with May 2016 and increased month-over-month by 1.2 percent in May 2017 compared with April 2017.
    • The CoreLogic HPI Forecast indicates that home prices will increase by 5.3 percent on a year-over-year basis from May 2017 to May 2018, and on a month-over-month basis home prices are expected to increase by 0.9 percent from May 2017 to June 2017.
    • Overall single-family rent inflation was 3.1 percent on a year-over-year basis in May 2017 compared with May 2016.
    • Nationally, the year over year home price changed by 6.6 percent. Most states experienced increases, except Alaska, West Virginia and Wyoming. The states with the highest increases were Utah (10.4 percent) and Washington (12.6 percent), both experiencing double digit increases.

    This graph shows a comparison of the national year-over-year percent change for the CoreLogic HPI and CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index from 2000 to present month with forecasts one year into the future.

    These large cities continue to experience price increases with Denver leading the way at 9.2 percent year over year.

    “For current homeowners, the strong run-up in prices has boosted home equity and, in some cases, spending,” said Frank Nothaft, chief economist at Core Logic. “For renters and potential first-time homebuyers, it is not such a pretty picture. With price appreciation and rental inflation outstripping income growth, affordability is destined to become a bigger issue in most markets.”

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